Edward Elliott
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Edward Elliott

The Nature of Graded Belief

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Project Description
This page is for my 2-year Horizon 2020 project, 'Degrees of Belief', which began in February 2017. The research goal of the project is to develop a novel account of the nature and representational content of the degrees of belief of ordinary, non-ideal human beings. Specifically, the project will draw on recent work on the formal foundations of decision theory, comparative probabilities, imprecise credences, and recent empirical evidence regarding decision-making and probabilistic reasoning, for the development and defense of a broadly functionalist account of degrees of belief.

Horizon 2020         

Project-Related Papers
  • A Representation Theorem for Frequently Irrational Agents
  • Impossible Worlds and Partial Beliefs
  • Unawareness and Implicit Belief
  • Comparativism and the Measurement of Partial Belief
  • 'Ramseyfying' Probabilistic Comparativism​
  • Betting Against the Zen Monk: On Preferences and Belief
  • Credal Sets and Strength of Belief
Project Videos
Video 1: 
​Introduction to Probability, Part 1: The outcome space









 


 
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Video 2:
Introduction to Probability, Part 2: Probability functions













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Video 3:
Interpretations of Probability: Hypothetical frequentism












 

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Video 4:
Interpretations of Probability: The epistemic interpretation












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Workshop on Degrees of Belief
The Call for Papers is now closed.
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